Today's Correct Score Predictions

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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 30 September 2022

Tue 27 Wed 28 Thu 29 Fri 30 Sat 1 Sun 2 Mon 3

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

32 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 30 September 2022. The strongest reading belongs to SC Paderborn 07 vs SV Darmstadt 98 at 70% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 32%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies six of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · China

Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Premier League · Ukraine

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Premier League · Ukraine

✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Model Score 1–0 · 13%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Model Score 2–1 · 9%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

Model Score 0–1 · 12%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Model Score 2–0 · 10%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Model Score 2–1 · 10%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Primeira Liga · Portugal

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Model Score 1–0 · 10%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium

Model Score 0–1 · 13%

Bundesliga · Germany

✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Serie B · Italy

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

League Two · England

Model Score 2–0 · 11%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium

Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Premier Division · Ireland

✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Premier Division · Ireland

✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Dundalk Clean Sheet 54%

Model Score 1–0 · 16%

Premier Division · Ireland

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Championship · England

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Ligue 1 · France

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

La Liga · Spain

Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Athletic Club Clean Sheet 53%

Model Score 1–0 · 18%

Premier Division · Ireland

✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Primeira Liga · Portugal

✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Showing 32 of 32 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Likely Draw Tightly Contested Over 2.5 Goals

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 30 September 2022?

32 fixtures met the criteria, led by SC Paderborn 07 vs SV Darmstadt 98 at 70% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.