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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Wednesday 22 December 2021

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 31 fixtures on Wednesday 22 December 2021. Empoli vs AC Milan sits top on 76% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 76% down to 36%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · China
Beijing Guoan
2 : 2 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League · China
Hebei Zhongji
1 : 1 FT
Guangzhou R&F
Win 37%
Draw 34%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Super League · China
Shandong Luneng
2 : 1 FT
Changchun Yatai
✓ Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · China
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
0 : 0 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Sivasspor
1 : 1 FT
Rizespor
Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 58% Sivasspor Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 14%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Hatayspor
1 : 3 FT
Konyaspor
Win 30%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Sassuolo
0 : 3 FT
Bologna
Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Venezia
1 : 3 FT
Lazio
Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Gaziantep FK
2 : 1 FT
Alanyaspor
✓ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
1 : 1 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Hellas Verona
1 : 1 FT
Fiorentina
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Inter
1 : 0 FT
Torino
✓ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Inter Clean Sheet 53%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
1 : 1 FT
Sampdoria
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen
0 : 3 FT
Feyenoord
Win 25%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 48%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Willem II
0 : 1 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 20%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 57%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Granada CF
2 : 1 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 37%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heracles
1 : 1 FT
Cambuur
Win 47%
Draw 22%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Serie A · Italy
Empoli
2 : 4 FT
AC Milan
Win 23%
Draw 19%
✓ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Serie A · Italy
Napoli
0 : 1 FT
Spezia
Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 60%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Bordeaux
2 : 3 FT
Lille
Win 31%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Lorient
1 : 1 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 21%
Draw 29%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
1 : 1 FT
Metz
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Marseille
1 : 1 FT
Reims
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Monaco
2 : 1 FT
Rennes
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Montpellier
4 : 1 FT
Angers
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Nice
2 : 1 FT
Lens
✓ Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Saint Etienne
0 : 1 FT
Nantes
Win 25%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 50%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Estac Troyes
1 : 1 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht
1 : 1 FT
Twente
Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax
5 : 0 FT
Fortuna Sittard
✓ Win 84%
Draw 10%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 75%
Model Score 3–0 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
1 : 2 FT
Real Madrid
Win 21%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Showing 31 of 31 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Wednesday 22 December 2021?

31 fixtures met the criteria, led by Empoli vs AC Milan at 76% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.