Today's Correct Score Predictions

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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 15 October 2021

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The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 29 fixtures on Friday 15 October 2021. MVV vs Dordrecht sits top on 71% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 36%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Canadian Premier League · Canada

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Premier League · Ukraine

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Primera División · Chile

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

✓ Model Score 0–1 · 14%

Süper Lig · Turkey

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%

Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 67%

Model Score 1–2 · 9%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Model Score 1–0 · 12%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 63%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%

✓ Model Score 2–1 · 9%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%

Model Score 1–1 · 9%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 55%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium

Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%

Model Score 1–2 · 10%

Bundesliga · Germany

✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 62%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

League One · England

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Premier Division · Ireland

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Premier Division · Ireland

Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Premier Division · Ireland

Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Premier Division · Ireland

Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Championship · England

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Ligue 1 · France

Model Score 1–0 · 12%

Primera División · Chile

Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Premier Division · Ireland

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 61%

Model Score 1–0 · 17%

Primera División · Chile

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Showing 29 of 29 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Likely Draw Tightly Contested Over 2.5 Goals

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 15 October 2021?

29 fixtures met the criteria, led by MVV vs Dordrecht at 71% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.