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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Sunday 22 November 2020

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

Twelve fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 22 November 2020. Stromsgodset vs Bodo/Glimt sits top on 77% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 77% down to 27%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
2 : 1 FT
Helsingborg
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
AIK Stockholm
0 : 2 FT
Orebro SK
Win 43%
Draw 35%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Kalmar FF
0 : 3 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 17%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 56%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Freiburg
1 : 3 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Hammarby FF
2 : 2 FT
Malmo FF
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Ostersunds FK
0 : 4 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 33%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Köln
1 : 2 FT
Union Berlin
Win 19%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
ODD Ballklubb
1 : 2 FT
Start
Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 13%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Kristiansund BK
1 : 0 FT
Mjondalen
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Haugesund
3 : 2 FT
Sandefjord
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1 : 2 FT
Viking
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stromsgodset
1 : 2 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 16%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
✓ Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%

Showing 12 of 12 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 22 November 2020?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Stromsgodset vs Bodo/Glimt at 77% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.