Sign in Register
🧤

Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 3 October 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 3 October 2026. Blackpool vs Leicester sits top on 48% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 28%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League Two supplies six of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One · England
Blackpool
: 14:00
Leicester
Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
#2 League Two · England
Colchester
: 14:00
Port Vale
Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 55%
#3 League Two · England
Grimsby
: 14:00
Shrewsbury
Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 13%
BTTS No 53%
#4 League One · England
AFC Wimbledon
: 14:00
Stevenage
Win 33%
Draw 36%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 64%
#5 League One · England
Wigan
: 14:00
Mansfield Town
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
#6 League Two · England
Rochdale
: 14:00
Swindon Town
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 53%
#7 League Two · England
Exeter City
: 14:00
Rotherham
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 53%
#8 League Two · England
Northampton
: 14:00
Oldham
Win 30%
Draw 32%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
#9 League Two · England
Salford City
: 14:00
Fleetwood Town
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
#10 League One · England
Peterborough
: 14:00
Notts County
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 55%
#11 League One · England
Reading
: 14:00
Bradford
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
#12 League Two · England
Chesterfield
: 11:30
Tranmere
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 54%
#13 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
: 18:00
FC Volendam
Win 64%
Draw 18%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 64%
#14 League Two · England
Barnet
: 14:00
York
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 63%
#15 League One · England
Luton
: 14:00
Doncaster
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#16 League Two · England
Walsall
: 14:00
Crawley Town
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 55%
#17 League One · England
Barnsley
: 14:00
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#18 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Forge
: 20:00
HFX Wanderers FC
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
#19 League Two · England
Crewe
: 14:00
Bristol Rovers
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 56%
#20 Canadian Premier League · Canada
York United
: 17:00
Cavalry FC
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 3 October 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Blackpool vs Leicester at 48% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.