Sign in Register
🧤

Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Wednesday 4 March 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

17 matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 4 March 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Palermo vs Mantova at 55% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 12%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie B supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the clean sheet market — 24%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B · Italy
Palermo
2 : 1 FT
Mantova
✓ Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 60% Palermo Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Premier League · England
Manchester City
2 : 2 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#3 Serie B · Italy
Frosinone
2 : 2 FT
Pescara
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#4 Super League 1 · Greece
Kifisia
1 : 4 FT
PAOK
Win 25%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 47%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#5 Serie B · Italy
Juve Stabia
1 : 1 FT
Sampdoria
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#6 La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 0 FT
Oviedo
✓ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#7 Serie B · Italy
Carrarese
3 : 3 FT
Catanzaro
Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#8 Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos
4 : 1 FT
OFI
✓ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#9 Super League · Switzerland
FC Lugano
2 : 1 FT
FC Sion
✓ Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Premier League · England
Brighton
0 : 1 FT
Arsenal
Win 25%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 45%
BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Serie B · Italy
Bari
2 : 1 FT
Empoli
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 59%
#12 Premier League · England
Aston Villa
1 : 4 FT
Chelsea
Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 58%
#13 Premier League · England
Fulham
0 : 1 FT
West Ham
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 67%
#14 Bundesliga · Germany
Hamburger SV
0 : 1 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 36%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 38%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
#15 Super League · Switzerland
FC Zurich
1 : 2 FT
Lausanne
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#16 Premier League · England
Newcastle
2 : 1 FT
Manchester United
Win 35%
Draw 24%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#17 Super League · Switzerland
FC Luzern
1 : 2 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 59%
Draw 18%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 90% ✓ BTTS Yes 85%

Showing top 17 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 4 March 2026?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Palermo vs Mantova at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.