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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Wednesday 21 January 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists seven fixtures on Wednesday 21 January 2026. Watford vs Portsmouth led the list at 46% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 46% down to 19%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Championship supplies three of the top 7, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the clean sheet market — 29%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Watford
1 : 1 FT
Portsmouth
Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
BTTS No 54%
#2 Championship Β· England
Stoke City
1 : 2 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Damac
1 : 2 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 25%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
2 : 2 FT
Al Riyadh
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
#5 Championship Β· England
Southampton
1 : 0 FT
Sheffield Utd
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 1 FT
Excelsior
Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#7 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
0 : 0 FT
NEOM
Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%

Showing top 7 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 21 January 2026?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Watford vs Portsmouth at 46% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.