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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Wednesday 7 January 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

15 fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 7 January 2026. Brentford vs Sunderland sits top on 53% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 25%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier League supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the clean sheet market — 33%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League · England
Brentford
3 : 0 FT
Sunderland
✓ Win 57%
Draw 29%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Brentford Clean Sheet 53%
#2 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Bataeh
0 : 4 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 14%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 62%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#3 Serie A · Italy
Lazio
2 : 2 FT
Fiorentina
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
#4 Serie A · Italy
Napoli
2 : 2 FT
Hellas Verona
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
BTTS No 55%
#5 Serie A · Italy
Parma
0 : 2 FT
Inter
Win 21%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#6 Premier League · England
Newcastle
4 : 3 FT
Leeds
✓ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#7 Premier League · England
Manchester City
1 : 1 FT
Brighton
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Serie A · Italy
Bologna
0 : 2 FT
Atalanta
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 Premier League · England
Burnley
2 : 2 FT
Manchester United
Win 18%
Draw 27%
Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
2 : 2 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 56%
#11 Premier League · England
Everton
1 : 1 FT
Wolves
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#12 Premier League · England
Bournemouth
3 : 2 FT
Tottenham
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 56%
#13 Premier League · England
Crystal Palace
0 : 0 FT
Aston Villa
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Premier League · England
Fulham
2 : 1 FT
Chelsea
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#15 Serie A · Italy
Torino
1 : 2 FT
Udinese
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 15 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 7 January 2026?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Brentford vs Sunderland at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.