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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Tuesday 30 December 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Nine matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 30 December 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Burnley vs Newcastle at 41% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 41% down to 22%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies six of the top 9, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the clean sheet market — 33%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England
Burnley
1 : 3 FT
Newcastle
Win 28%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#2 Premier League Β· England
Manchester United
1 : 1 FT
Wolves
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
#3 Premier League Β· England
Nottingham Forest
0 : 2 FT
Everton
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#4 Premier League Β· England
Arsenal
4 : 1 FT
Aston Villa
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
2 : 2 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 17%
Draw 21%
Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Premier League Β· England
West Ham
2 : 2 FT
Brighton
Win 30%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2 : 0 FT
Al-Fayha
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Premier League Β· England
Chelsea
2 : 2 FT
Bournemouth
Win 59%
Draw 18%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#9 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
0 : 1 FT
Damac
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 9 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 30 December 2025?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Burnley vs Newcastle at 41% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.