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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 28 December 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

13 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 28 December 2025. Arouca vs GIL Vicente sits top on 48% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 22%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Primeira Liga supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 54%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Arouca
2 : 2 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 18%
Draw 26%
Win 55%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 60%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Sporting CP
4 : 0 FT
Rio Ave
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 53%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
SC Braga
2 : 2 FT
Benfica
Win 24%
Draw 28%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
3 : 0 FT
Hellas Verona
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 54%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy
Cremonese
0 : 2 FT
Napoli
Win 31%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#6 Premier League Β· England
Sunderland
1 : 1 FT
Leeds
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Nasr
2 : 2 FT
Al Ain
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 58%
#8 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Dibba Al-Fujairah
1 : 3 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 28%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 54%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
1 : 1 FT
Sassuolo
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#10 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Casa Pia
0 : 0 FT
Vitória SC
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy
Atalanta
0 : 1 FT
Inter
Win 33%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 41%
BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Premier League Β· England
Crystal Palace
0 : 1 FT
Tottenham
Win 34%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 41%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
1 : 0 FT
Khorfakkan
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 13 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 28 December 2025?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Arouca vs GIL Vicente at 48% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.