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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 25 May 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 25 May 2025. Southampton vs Arsenal sits top on 53% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 40%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League · England
Southampton
1 : 2 FT
Arsenal
Win 8%
Draw 16%
✓ Win 77%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS No 58% Arsenal Clean Sheet 53%
#2 Serie A · Brazil
Vitoria
0 : 1 FT
Santos
Win 55%
Draw 31%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#3 Süper Lig · Turkey
Kayserispor
1 : 1 FT
Bodrum FK
Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 65%
#4 Premier League · Ukraine
Polessya
1 : 1 FT
Kryvbas KR
Win 34%
✓ Draw 40%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 80% BTTS No 70%
#5 Primera División · Chile
U. Catolica
1 : 3 FT
D. La Serena
Win 80%
Draw 13%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 67%
#6 Primera División · Chile
Nublense
0 : 1 FT
O'Higgins
Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#7 Serie A · Italy
Venezia
2 : 3 FT
Juventus
Win 26%
Draw 35%
✓ Win 40%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 66%
#8 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Teplice
3 : 0 FT
Pardubice
✓ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#9 Premier League · Ukraine
Veres Rivne
1 : 1 FT
LNZ Cherkasy
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#10 Serie A · Italy
Atalanta
2 : 3 FT
Parma
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%
#11 Premier League · Ukraine
Karpaty
1 : 3 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
#12 Premier League · England
Bournemouth
2 : 0 FT
Leicester
✓ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#13 Serie A · Brazil
Palmeiras
0 : 2 FT
Flamengo
Win 35%
Draw 37%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#14 Premier League · England
Ipswich
1 : 3 FT
West Ham
Win 15%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#15 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Dukla Praha
2 : 1 FT
České Budějovice
✓ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#16 Serie A · Italy
Empoli
1 : 2 FT
Hellas Verona
Win 29%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 38%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
#17 Serie A · Italy
Torino
0 : 2 FT
AS Roma
Win 32%
Draw 34%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#18 Primera División · Chile
Coquimbo Unido
0 : 0 FT
Palestino
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#19 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
3 : 1 FT
Gent
✓ Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 58%
#20 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk
2 : 1 FT
Anderlecht
✓ Win 43%
Draw 33%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 25 May 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Southampton vs Arsenal at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.