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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 17 May 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 17 May 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Nantes vs Montpellier at 57% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 40%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 · France
Nantes
3 : 0 FT
Montpellier
✓ Win 52%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 69% ✓ Nantes Clean Sheet 57%
#2 K League 1 · South-Korea
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1 : 1 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 66% Gimcheon Sangmu FC Clean Sheet 55%
#3 Serie A · Italy
Genoa
2 : 3 FT
Atalanta
Win 12%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 64%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 60%
#4 Superettan · Sweden
Orebro SK
1 : 2 FT
GIF Sundsvall
Win 22%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 46%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 67%
#5 K League 1 · South-Korea
Gangwon FC
1 : 1 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 22%
Draw 32%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 67%
#6 Ligue 1 · France
Lille
2 : 1 FT
Reims
✓ Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 63%
#7 Serie A · Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
3 : 0 FT
Fortaleza EC
✓ Win 46%
Draw 33%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#8 Serie A · Brazil
Ceara
2 : 0 FT
Sport Recife
✓ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#9 Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto
3 : 0 FT
Nacional
✓ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#10 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Farense
1 : 2 FT
Santa Clara
Win 29%
Draw 35%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 69%
#11 Primera División · Chile
Union La Calera
0 : 1 FT
Coquimbo Unido
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#12 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril
4 : 0 FT
Estrela
✓ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#13 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
2 : 0 FT
Al Okhdood
Win 34%
Draw 34%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#14 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin
3 : 3 FT
Lechia Gdansk
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
#15 Premier League · Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
1 : 1 FT
Fakel
Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
#16 Bundesliga · Germany
FC St. Pauli
0 : 2 FT
VfL Bochum
Win 36%
Draw 35%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#17 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Korona Kielce
1 : 1 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#18 Superettan · Sweden
Trelleborg
5 : 0 FT
Vasteras SK FK
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#19 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah
4 : 1 FT
Al Kholood
✓ Win 83%
Draw 10%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#20 Primera División · Chile
Cobresal
0 : 1 FT
A. Italiano
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 17 May 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Nantes vs Montpellier at 57% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.