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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 8 April 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

17 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 8 April 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Derby vs Burnley at 53% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 26%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Championship supplies six of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 41%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship · England
Derby
0 : 0 FT
Burnley
Win 21%
Draw 32%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#2 Championship · England
Bristol City
2 : 1 FT
West Brom
✓ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%
#3 Championship · England
Watford
1 : 0 FT
Hull City
Win 28%
Draw 32%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#4 Championship · England
Stoke City
1 : 1 FT
Luton
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
BTTS No 54%
#5 Championship · England
Preston
2 : 2 FT
Cardiff
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#6 League One · England
Exeter City
1 : 1 FT
Wigan
Win 28%
Draw 30%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#7 League One · England
Mansfield Town
2 : 3 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 22%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 53%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#8 Championship · England
Sheffield Utd
0 : 1 FT
Millwall
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#9 League Two · England
Chesterfield
1 : 1 FT
Gillingham
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#10 Superettan · Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
1 : 1 FT
Orgryte IS
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#11 League One · England
Huddersfield
0 : 1 FT
Wycombe
Win 31%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#12 League One · England
Shrewsbury
1 : 3 FT
Reading
Win 31%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
#13 League One · England
Bolton
0 : 1 FT
Rotherham
Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
#14 Championship · England
Middlesbrough
0 : 1 FT
Leeds
Win 30%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 44%
BTTS Yes 53%
#15 Championship · England
Blackburn
2 : 2 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 53%
#16 League One · England
Peterborough
1 : 2 FT
Birmingham
Win 34%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Championship · England
Norwich
0 : 0 FT
Sunderland
Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 17 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 8 April 2025?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Derby vs Burnley at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.