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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Monday 3 February 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Twelve fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 3 February 2025. Asteras Tripolis vs Lamia sits top on 52% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 16%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the clean sheet market — 25%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 0 FT
Lamia
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Moreirense
1 : 2 FT
SC Braga
Win 21%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 62%
#3 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 3 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 31%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
#4 Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
2 : 3 FT
Sunderland
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Gaziantep FK
0 : 1 FT
Galatasaray
Win 31%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 Premier League Β· England
Chelsea
2 : 1 FT
West Ham
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sigma Olomouc
2 : 1 FT
Plzen
Win 28%
Draw 25%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
1 : 2 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy
Cagliari
1 : 2 FT
Lazio
Win 28%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#10 La Liga Β· Spain
Girona
2 : 1 FT
Las Palmas
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Rio Ave
2 : 2 FT
FC Porto
Win 36%
Draw 24%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
3 : 0 FT
VVV Venlo
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 72%

Showing top 12 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 3 February 2025?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Asteras Tripolis vs Lamia at 52% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.