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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Tuesday 4 February 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Seven matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 4 February 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Burnley vs Oxford United at 65% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 65% down to 30%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the clean sheet market — 29%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Burnley
1 : 0 FT
Oxford United
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 38%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 84% ✓ BTTS No 78% ✓ Burnley Clean Sheet 65%
#2 League Two Β· England
Salford City
3 : 3 FT
Bromley
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 59%
#3 Championship Β· England
QPR
2 : 1 FT
Blackburn
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#4 League Two Β· England
Newport County
2 : 1 FT
Morecambe
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 53%
#5 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Dibba Al Hisn
0 : 3 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 16%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Super League Β· Switzerland
Grasshoppers
2 : 2 FT
Lausanne
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Sion
3 : 3 FT
Servette FC
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 7 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 4 February 2025?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Burnley vs Oxford United at 65% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.