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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Tuesday 28 January 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Tuesday 28 January 2025. Wrexham vs Stevenage led the list at 60% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 60% down to 32%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League Two supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England
Wrexham
2 : 3 FT
Stevenage
Win 43%
Draw 37%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 83% BTTS No 76% Wrexham Clean Sheet 60%
#2 League One Β· England
Charlton
2 : 0 FT
Bristol Rovers
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Charlton Clean Sheet 54%
#3 League Two Β· England
Notts County
1 : 0 FT
Carlisle
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#4 League Two Β· England
Bradford
1 : 0 FT
Morecambe
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
#5 Championship Β· England
Portsmouth
0 : 1 FT
Millwall
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#6 League Two Β· England
Swindon Town
3 : 1 FT
Tranmere
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
#7 League Two Β· England
Milton Keynes Dons
2 : 1 FT
Harrogate Town
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
#8 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Heracles
1 : 1 FT
Groningen
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 54%
#9 League Two Β· England
Salford City
1 : 1 FT
Newport County
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
#10 League One Β· England
Huddersfield
0 : 1 FT
Birmingham
Win 27%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#11 League One Β· England
Wycombe
2 : 1 FT
Barnsley
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#12 League Two Β· England
Fleetwood Town
2 : 0 FT
Walsall
Win 25%
Draw 30%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#13 League One Β· England
Mansfield Town
0 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
#14 League One Β· England
Stockport County
1 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
#15 League One Β· England
Rotherham
2 : 1 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#16 League Two Β· England
Crewe
1 : 1 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
#17 League One Β· England
Bolton
3 : 1 FT
Northampton
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
#18 League Two Β· England
Grimsby
1 : 1 FT
Gillingham
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#19 League One Β· England
Exeter City
2 : 6 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 25%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 50%
#20 League Two Β· England
Chesterfield
3 : 0 FT
Bromley
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 28 January 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Wrexham vs Stevenage at 60% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.