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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 5 January 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 5 January 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Sunderland vs Portsmouth at 48% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 29%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League 1 supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship · England
Sunderland
1 : 0 FT
Portsmouth
✓ Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 62%
#2 Premier League · England
Liverpool
2 : 2 FT
Manchester United
Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#3 Süper Lig · Turkey
Bodrum FK
1 : 1 FT
Kayserispor
Win 42%
Draw 35%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
#4 Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe
2 : 1 FT
Hatayspor
✓ Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
#5 Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
0 : 2 FT
OFI
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#6 Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos
2 : 1 FT
PAOK
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#7 Super League 1 · Greece
Volos NFC
2 : 4 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 28%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 42%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#8 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Santa Clara
0 : 0 FT
Farense
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#9 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estrela
2 : 4 FT
Estoril
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 55%
#10 Serie A · Italy
Torino
0 : 0 FT
Parma
Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#11 Super League 1 · Greece
Atromitos
0 : 1 FT
Asteras Tripolis
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#12 Serie A · Italy
Lecce
0 : 0 FT
Genoa
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#13 League Two · England
Crewe
4 : 1 FT
Bromley
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
#14 Ligue 1 · France
Strasbourg
3 : 1 FT
Auxerre
✓ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#15 Ligue 1 · France
Lens
0 : 1 FT
Toulouse
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#16 Premier League · England
Fulham
2 : 2 FT
Ipswich
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
3 : 2 FT
Ajman
✓ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#18 Serie A · Italy
Monza
1 : 2 FT
Cagliari
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 57%
#19 Super League 1 · Greece
Levadiakos
1 : 0 FT
Panserraikos
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
#20 Ligue 1 · France
Marseille
5 : 1 FT
Le Havre
✓ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 5 January 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sunderland vs Portsmouth at 48% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.