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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Thursday 26 December 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Thursday 26 December 2024. Watford vs Portsmouth led the list at 53% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 41%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Championship supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Watford
2 : 1 FT
Portsmouth
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 22%
Win 9%
BTTS No 58%
#2 Championship Β· England
Sheffield Utd
0 : 2 FT
Burnley
Win 35%
Draw 40%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS No 72%
#3 League Two Β· England
Salford City
3 : 0 FT
Barrow
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy
Sampdoria
1 : 1 FT
Carrarese
Win 52%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 62%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KV Mechelen
0 : 0 FT
Standard Liege
Win 69%
Draw 22%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy
Spezia
1 : 1 FT
Mantova
Win 71%
Draw 20%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#7 League One Β· England
Birmingham
2 : 0 FT
Burton Albion
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#8 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Gent
1 : 3 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 48%
Draw 34%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#9 Premier League Β· England
Liverpool
3 : 1 FT
Leicester
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 15%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 71%
#10 Championship Β· England
Bristol City
1 : 0 FT
Luton
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 54%
#11 League One Β· England
Leyton Orient
3 : 0 FT
Crawley Town
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#12 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge KV
4 : 3 FT
KVC Westerlo
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 18%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 67%
#13 League Two Β· England
Colchester
2 : 0 FT
Gillingham
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#14 League Two Β· England
Bradford
2 : 1 FT
Port Vale
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 62%
#15 League Two Β· England
Cheltenham
2 : 1 FT
Crewe
Win 28%
Draw 32%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#16 Championship Β· England
Coventry
4 : 0 FT
Plymouth
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 54%
#17 League One Β· England
Exeter City
3 : 1 FT
Bristol Rovers
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#18 Serie B Β· Italy
Palermo
1 : 0 FT
Bari
Win 31%
Draw 37%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#19 Championship Β· England
Preston
1 : 0 FT
Hull City
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#20 League One Β· England
Reading
4 : 1 FT
Northampton
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 26 December 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Watford vs Portsmouth at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.