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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Monday 23 December 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Eleven matches cleared our threshold on Monday 23 December 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Vitória SC vs Nacional at 55% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 28%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Primeira Liga supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Vitória SC
2 : 2 FT
Nacional
Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 63% Vitória SC Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
3 : 0 FT
Estoril
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 65%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Hatayspor
1 : 3 FT
Adana Demirspor
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 55%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
3 : 1 FT
Roda
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Estrela
1 : 0 FT
Rio Ave
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#6 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Asteras Tripolis
2 : 1 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 58%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy
Inter
2 : 0 FT
Como
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
1 : 2 FT
Udinese
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
2 : 2 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Super League 1 Β· Greece
OFI
4 : 0 FT
Volos NFC
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
BTTS Yes 54%
#11 League One Β· England
Crawley Town
0 : 1 FT
Birmingham
Win 26%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 50%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 11 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 23 December 2024?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Vitória SC vs Nacional at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.