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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 1 October 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Tuesday 1 October 2024. Stevenage vs Wrexham led the list at 57% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 34%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Championship supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the clean sheet market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One · England
Stevenage
1 : 0 FT
Wrexham
✓ Win 48%
Draw 35%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 70% ✓ Stevenage Clean Sheet 57%
#2 Championship · England
West Brom
0 : 1 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 43%
Draw 33%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#3 Championship · England
Sunderland
2 : 0 FT
Derby
✓ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#4 League Two · England
Tranmere
1 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#5 League Two · England
Gillingham
0 : 1 FT
Grimsby
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 58%
#6 Championship · England
Burnley
1 : 0 FT
Plymouth
✓ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#7 League One · England
Reading
3 : 1 FT
Burton Albion
✓ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
#8 League Two · England
Harrogate Town
1 : 5 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#9 League One · England
Bristol Rovers
3 : 2 FT
Charlton
Win 27%
Draw 33%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%
#10 Championship · England
Cardiff
1 : 0 FT
Millwall
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#11 League One · England
Northampton
2 : 4 FT
Bolton
Win 26%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 43%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
#12 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Valour
1 : 0 FT
Pacific FC
Win 35%
Draw 37%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#13 League Two · England
Walsall
2 : 6 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
#14 League Two · England
Doncaster
1 : 0 FT
Barrow
✓ Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#15 League Two · England
Bromley
2 : 2 FT
Chesterfield
Win 19%
Draw 22%
Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#16 League One · England
Wigan
3 : 0 FT
Peterborough
Win 32%
Draw 33%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#17 League One · England
Cambridge United
0 : 1 FT
Rotherham
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#18 League One · England
Crawley Town
0 : 2 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 24%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 49%
BTTS Yes 53%
#19 League One · England
Shrewsbury
0 : 2 FT
Stockport County
Win 30%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#20 League One · England
Leyton Orient
0 : 1 FT
Exeter City
Win 31%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 1 October 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Stevenage vs Wrexham at 57% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.