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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 11 August 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 11 August 2024. Sao Paulo vs Atletico Goianiense sits top on 53% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 36%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sao Paulo
1 : 0 FT
Atletico Goianiense
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Galway United
1 : 1 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 41%
Draw 36%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 70%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
2 : 1 FT
Gais
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#4 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Baník Ostrava
1 : 0 FT
Hradec Králové
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#5 Premier League Β· Russia
Spartak Moscow
0 : 0 FT
Akhmat
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#6 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Plzen
5 : 0 FT
Karviná
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
2 : 0 FT
Fluminense
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
4 : 0 FT
České Budějovice
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil
Bahia
2 : 0 FT
Vitoria
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#10 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Vancouver FC
1 : 0 FT
Pacific FC
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#12 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Estoril
1 : 4 FT
Santa Clara
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
#13 Serie A Β· Brazil
Internacional
2 : 2 FT
Atletico Paranaense
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#14 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Karpaty
3 : 0 FT
Kryvbas KR
Win 24%
Draw 25%
Win 51%
#15 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
1 : 0 FT
Grasshoppers
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Genk
3 : 2 FT
Club Brugge KV
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
#17 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Pardubice
0 : 1 FT
Slovácko
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#18 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Austria Vienna
3 : 1 FT
Wolfsberger AC
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
#19 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp
6 : 1 FT
St. Truiden
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
#20 Championship Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
4 : 0 FT
Plymouth
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 11 August 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sao Paulo vs Atletico Goianiense at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.