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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 9 August 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 9 August 2024. The strongest reading belongs to IK brage vs Skövde AIK at 50% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 29%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan · Sweden
IK brage
2 : 0 FT
Skövde AIK
✓ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 57%
#2 Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
1 : 1 FT
Dundalk
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 57%
#3 Super League · China
Sichuan Jiuniu
0 : 3 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 15%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#4 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United
2 : 1 FT
Prachuap
✓ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#5 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege
0 : 0 FT
KV Mechelen
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#6 K League 1 · South-Korea
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1 : 2 FT
Gangwon FC
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
#7 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP
3 : 1 FT
Rio Ave
✓ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
2 : 3 FT
Waterford
Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
#9 Championship · England
Blackburn
4 : 2 FT
Derby
✓ Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 55%
#10 Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray
2 : 1 FT
Hatayspor
✓ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Premier League · Ukraine
Veres Rivne
1 : 2 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 28%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 45%
Under 2.5 56%
#12 Premier League · Ukraine
Livyi Bereh
0 : 3 FT
Vorskla Poltava
Win 31%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#13 Championship · England
Preston
0 : 2 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 53%
#14 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa
0 : 0 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#15 Super League · China
SHANGHAI SIPG
7 : 2 FT
Meizhou Kejia
✓ Win 88%
Draw 8%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 89% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#16 League One · England
Barnsley
1 : 2 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#17 Super League · China
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
3 : 1 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 53%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
1 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#19 Primera División · Chile
Huachipato
0 : 0 FT
Cobresal
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#20 Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord
2 : 2 FT
Stromsgodset
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 9 August 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by IK brage vs Skövde AIK at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.