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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 5 March 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

15 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 5 March 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Mansfield Town vs Milton Keynes Dons at 43% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 43% down to 21%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League Two supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 47%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two · England
Mansfield Town
1 : 2 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#2 Championship · England
Leeds
1 : 0 FT
Stoke City
✓ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 60%
#3 Championship · England
Hull City
1 : 1 FT
Birmingham
Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 53%
#4 League Two · England
Barrow
2 : 0 FT
Gillingham
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#5 League Two · England
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0 FT
Grimsby
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#6 Championship · England
Sheffield Wednesday
1 : 0 FT
Plymouth
✓ Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#7 Championship · England
Coventry
5 : 0 FT
Rotherham
✓ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%
#8 League Two · England
Morecambe
1 : 0 FT
Crawley Town
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#9 League Two · England
Bradford
1 : 1 FT
Doncaster
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#10 League One · England
Barnsley
2 : 2 FT
Bolton
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Championship · England
Blackburn
1 : 1 FT
Millwall
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#12 League One · England
Cheltenham
1 : 3 FT
Charlton
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#13 Championship · England
Ipswich
3 : 2 FT
Bristol City
✓ Win 48%
Draw 22%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#14 Championship · England
Sunderland
0 : 1 FT
Leicester
Win 34%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 43%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
#15 League One · England
Peterborough
5 : 1 FT
Northampton
✓ Win 59%
Draw 18%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%

Showing top 15 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 5 March 2024?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Mansfield Town vs Milton Keynes Dons at 43% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.