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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 27 February 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Tuesday 27 February 2024. Lincoln vs Shrewsbury sits top on 46% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 46% down to 24%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One · England
Lincoln
3 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
✓ Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#2 League One · England
Burton Albion
0 : 1 FT
Carlisle
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#3 League Two · England
Forest Green
1 : 1 FT
Wrexham
Win 27%
Draw 31%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#4 Serie B · Italy
Sampdoria
1 : 2 FT
Cremonese
Win 24%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 44%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
#5 Serie B · Italy
Parma
1 : 1 FT
Cosenza
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#6 Serie B · Italy
Ascoli
1 : 1 FT
Brescia
Win 30%
Draw 34%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
#7 League Two · England
Walsall
2 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
✓ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 54%
#8 League One · England
Wycombe
2 : 0 FT
Cheltenham
✓ Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#9 Serie B · Italy
Reggiana
1 : 1 FT
Sudtirol
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#10 League One · England
Derby
1 : 2 FT
Charlton
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#11 League Two · England
Notts County
3 : 4 FT
Sutton Utd
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#12 Serie B · Italy
Lecco
0 : 3 FT
Como
Win 25%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 47%
BTTS Yes 55%
#13 League One · England
Stevenage
1 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
✓ Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#14 League Two · England
Swindon Town
3 : 1 FT
Tranmere
✓ Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
#15 League One · England
Wigan
1 : 0 FT
Bolton
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#16 League Two · England
Harrogate Town
1 : 4 FT
Newport County
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 55%
#17 League One · England
Leyton Orient
1 : 0 FT
Blackpool
✓ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
#18 Serie B · Italy
Catanzaro
2 : 0 FT
Bari
✓ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
#19 Serie B · Italy
Palermo
2 : 3 FT
Ternana
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#20 League One · England
Port Vale
2 : 2 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 27 February 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lincoln vs Shrewsbury at 46% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.