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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 24 February 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 24 February 2024. The strongest reading belongs to PEC Zwolle vs PSV Eindhoven at 53% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 38%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
1 : 7 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 6%
Draw 14%
βœ“ Win 80%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
#2 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Teplice
2 : 2 FT
Karviná
Win 55%
Draw 29%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Konyaspor
2 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 35%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France
Ajaccio
0 : 0 FT
Amiens
Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#5 League One Β· England
Reading
2 : 3 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France
Bordeaux
1 : 0 FT
Guingamp
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 65%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain
Almeria
2 : 2 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 20%
Draw 35%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Waalwijk
0 : 1 FT
Fortuna Sittard
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
7 : 0 FT
Austria Lustenau
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#11 Ligue 2 Β· France
Concarneau
1 : 3 FT
Laval
Win 23%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
#12 League Two Β· England
Forest Green
1 : 0 FT
Tranmere
Win 19%
Draw 26%
Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#13 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KV Mechelen
3 : 0 FT
Kortrijk
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#14 Serie B Β· Italy
Cittadella
1 : 2 FT
Catanzaro
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
#15 La Liga Β· Spain
Alaves
1 : 1 FT
Mallorca
Win 37%
Draw 36%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 58%
#16 League Two Β· England
Gillingham
1 : 0 FT
Wrexham
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#17 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
3 : 0 FT
FC Schalke 04
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 53%
#18 Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
0 : 2 FT
Plymouth
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#19 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
5 : 2 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#20 Serie B Β· Italy
Ternana
0 : 0 FT
Lecco
Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 24 February 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by PEC Zwolle vs PSV Eindhoven at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.