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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 28 January 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 28 January 2024. AEK Athens FC vs OFI sits top on 54% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 35%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece
AEK Athens FC
3 : 0 FT
OFI
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ AEK Athens FC Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KV Mechelen
3 : 1 FT
RWDM
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy
Genoa
2 : 1 FT
Lecce
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 34%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 62%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain
Cadiz
0 : 0 FT
Athletic Club
Win 24%
Draw 31%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France
Clermont Foot
1 : 1 FT
Strasbourg
Win 25%
Draw 34%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France
Reims
0 : 0 FT
Nantes
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
4 : 0 FT
Rizespor
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 53%
#8 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Farense
1 : 3 FT
FC Porto
Win 29%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#9 Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAOK
2 : 1 FT
Panathinaikos
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#10 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Luzern
2 : 1 FT
Lausanne
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#11 Ligue 1 Β· France
Toulouse
0 : 2 FT
Lens
Win 32%
Draw 38%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Konyaspor
2 : 3 FT
Başakşehir
Win 32%
Draw 36%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 60%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Celta Vigo
0 : 1 FT
Girona
Win 24%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#14 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
3 : 1 FT
PAS Giannina
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France
Montpellier
0 : 0 FT
Lille
Win 32%
βœ“ Draw 35%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy
Lazio
0 : 0 FT
Napoli
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#17 Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
0 : 1 FT
Inter
Win 20%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 55%
BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Serie A Β· Italy
Hellas Verona
1 : 1 FT
Frosinone
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#19 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
St. Truiden
1 : 1 FT
Genk
Win 24%
Draw 33%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#20 Championship Β· England
QPR
1 : 1 FT
Huddersfield
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 28 January 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by AEK Athens FC vs OFI at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.