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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 29 December 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 29 December 2023. Burton Albion vs Shrewsbury sits top on 56% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 38%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England
Burton Albion
1 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 28%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Burton Albion Clean Sheet 56%
#2 League One Β· England
Exeter City
0 : 0 FT
Portsmouth
Win 15%
Draw 28%
Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Portsmouth Clean Sheet 55%
#3 League Two Β· England
Mansfield Town
1 : 1 FT
Doncaster
Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 60%
#4 League Two Β· England
Walsall
3 : 1 FT
Wrexham
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 33%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 67%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy
Genoa
1 : 1 FT
Inter
Win 14%
Draw 25%
Win 61%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 58%
#6 League One Β· England
Wigan
2 : 0 FT
Carlisle
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#7 League One Β· England
Fleetwood Town
0 : 2 FT
Bolton
Win 17%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
0 : 2 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 7%
Draw 14%
βœ“ Win 78%
Over 2.5 66%
#9 Championship Β· England
Southampton
2 : 1 FT
Plymouth
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#10 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
3 : 0 FT
Famalicao
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#11 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
1 : 0 FT
Chaves
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 58%
#12 Championship Β· England
West Brom
1 : 0 FT
Leeds
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#13 Serie A Β· Italy
Lazio
3 : 1 FT
Frosinone
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#14 Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
1 : 0 FT
Torino
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#15 Championship Β· England
Coventry
2 : 2 FT
Swansea
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
#16 League One Β· England
Lincoln
1 : 2 FT
Northampton
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 56%
#17 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1 : 0 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#18 League Two Β· England
Barrow
1 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#19 Championship Β· England
Rotherham
1 : 1 FT
Sunderland
Win 32%
Draw 32%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#20 League One Β· England
Leyton Orient
0 : 0 FT
Wycombe
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 29 December 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Burton Albion vs Shrewsbury at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.