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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Thursday 7 December 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

18 fixtures cleared the bar on Thursday 7 December 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Bahia vs Atletico-MG at 48% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 20%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies six of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 39%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A · Brazil
Bahia
4 : 1 FT
Atletico-MG
Win 19%
Draw 27%
Win 53%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 61%
#2 Premier League · Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
4 : 2 FT
FC Kharkiv
✓ Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
#3 Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29
1 : 1 FT
Strasbourg
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
#4 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord
3 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
✓ Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
0 : 0 FT
Al-Ettifaq
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#6 Serie A · Brazil
Cuiaba
3 : 0 FT
Atletico Paranaense
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#7 Serie A · Brazil
Sao Paulo
1 : 0 FT
Flamengo
✓ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 Serie A · Brazil
Coritiba
0 : 2 FT
Corinthians
Win 25%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 50%
#9 Serie A · Brazil
Cruzeiro
1 : 1 FT
Palmeiras
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#10 Serie A · Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
2 : 1 FT
RB Bragantino
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
#11 Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
2 : 0 FT
Heerenveen
✓ Win 77%
Draw 14%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 64%
#12 Premier League · England
Everton
3 : 0 FT
Newcastle
Win 25%
Draw 24%
Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%
#13 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hazm
2 : 0 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 10%
Draw 13%
Win 77%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 66%
#14 Serie A · Brazil
Internacional
3 : 1 FT
Botafogo
✓ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 54%
#15 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Damac
3 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Serie A · Brazil
Santos
1 : 2 FT
Fortaleza EC
Win 36%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 37%
Under 2.5 54%
#17 Serie A · Brazil
Fluminense
2 : 3 FT
Gremio
Win 64%
Draw 18%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#18 Premier League · England
Tottenham
1 : 2 FT
West Ham
Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

Showing top 18 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 7 December 2023?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bahia vs Atletico-MG at 48% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.