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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 1 October 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 1 October 2023. Bologna vs Empoli sits top on 49% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 40%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie A supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
3 : 0 FT
Empoli
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#2 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chonburi FC
0 : 2 FT
Uthai Thani
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#3 Serie B Β· Italy
Cremonese
1 : 2 FT
Parma
Win 12%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 60%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 53%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain
Atletico Madrid
3 : 2 FT
Cadiz
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#5 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
4 : 2 FT
Oleksandria
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
#6 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Teplice
0 : 0 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#7 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
1 : 1 FT
Kifisia
Win 78%
Draw 16%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#8 Serie A Β· Brazil
RB Bragantino
2 : 1 FT
Palmeiras
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma
2 : 0 FT
Frosinone
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy
Udinese
2 : 2 FT
Genoa
Win 34%
βœ“ Draw 37%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 66%
#11 Serie B Β· Italy
Cittadella
2 : 1 FT
Lecco
Win 28%
Draw 42%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 65%
#12 Premier League Β· Russia
Fakel
2 : 0 FT
FC Sochi
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#13 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
KuPS
1 : 1 FT
SJK
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%
#14 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
2 : 3 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 22%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 51%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
#15 Primera División Β· Chile
Union Espanola
2 : 2 FT
Curico Unido
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
BTTS No 53%
#16 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
3 : 0 FT
Radomiak Radom
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#17 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Rio Ave
0 : 4 FT
Moreirense
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#18 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Betis
3 : 0 FT
Valencia
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#19 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
4 : 0 FT
Fortuna Sittard
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#20 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Arouca
0 : 2 FT
Chaves
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 1 October 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bologna vs Empoli at 49% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.