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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 30 September 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 30 September 2023. Lincoln vs Cheltenham led the list at 57% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 44%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England
Lincoln
2 : 0 FT
Cheltenham
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 27%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Lincoln Clean Sheet 57%
#2 Ligue 2 Β· France
Laval
1 : 0 FT
Valenciennes
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France
Grenoble
2 : 0 FT
Bordeaux
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 35%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS No 71%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy
Modena
1 : 3 FT
Venezia
Win 35%
Draw 42%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 80% BTTS No 69%
#5 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Ratchaburi
3 : 1 FT
Trat FC
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
#6 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Pacific FC
1 : 2 FT
Vancouver FC
Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 60%
#7 Super League Β· China
Beijing Guoan
2 : 0 FT
Dalian Aerbin
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#8 Premier League Β· England
Bournemouth
0 : 4 FT
Arsenal
Win 22%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#9 League One Β· England
Barnsley
0 : 1 FT
Blackpool
Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 60%
#10 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Trabzonspor
2 : 1 FT
Pendikspor
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 27%
Win 11%
#11 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Port FC
6 : 1 FT
Khon Kaen United
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
BTTS No 54%
#12 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Cavalry FC
2 : 1 FT
Valour
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
#13 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Beerschot VA
1 : 1 FT
Oostende
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
#14 League One Β· England
Exeter City
0 : 2 FT
Northampton
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#15 Super League Β· China
Shanghai Shenhua
1 : 0 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#16 Serie B Β· Italy
Brescia
1 : 1 FT
Ascoli
Win 46%
Draw 35%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
#17 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
3 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 13%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Ligue 2 Β· France
Annecy
2 : 2 FT
Paris FC
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
#19 Ligue 2 Β· France
Angers
2 : 0 FT
Concarneau
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#20 Premier League Β· England
Everton
1 : 2 FT
Luton
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 30 September 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lincoln vs Cheltenham at 57% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.