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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Monday 25 September 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

14 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 25 September 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Sporting CP vs Rio Ave at 43% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 43% down to 26%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier Division supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 43%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP
2 : 0 FT
Rio Ave
✓ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 56%
#2 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United
2 : 0 FT
BG Pathum United
✓ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#3 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Halmstad
0 : 1 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 17%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 61%
#4 Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
1 : 2 FT
Drogheda United
Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#5 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Varnamo
0 : 1 FT
Sirius
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#6 Premier League · Russia
Fakel
0 : 1 FT
Rubin
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
#7 Premier Division · Ireland
Dundalk
5 : 0 FT
Cork City
✓ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
1 : 1 FT
Shelbourne
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#9 Primera División · Chile
A. Italiano
2 : 1 FT
Union La Calera
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 56%
#10 Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos
1 : 2 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#11 Championship · England
Coventry
1 : 1 FT
Huddersfield
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Police Tero
1 : 2 FT
Buriram United
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
#13 Süper Lig · Turkey
Hatayspor
3 : 2 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 23%
Draw 28%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#14 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
1 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 14 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 25 September 2023?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sporting CP vs Rio Ave at 43% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.