Sign in Register
🧀

Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 16 September 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 16 September 2023. Raków Częstochowa vs ŁKS Łódź led the list at 61% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 61% down to 43%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
1 : 0 FT
ŁKS Łódź
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 18%
Win 6%
✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Raków Częstochowa Clean Sheet 61%
#2 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Cavalry FC
2 : 1 FT
Vancouver FC
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 23%
Win 8%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 62% Cavalry FC Clean Sheet 57%
#3 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
1 : 3 FT
Gangwon FC
Win 49%
Draw 33%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 70% Jeonbuk Motors Clean Sheet 56%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France
Quevilly
2 : 3 FT
Concarneau
Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 66%
#5 League One Β· England
Lincoln
1 : 1 FT
Carlisle
Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 59%
#6 League Two Β· England
Gillingham
2 : 1 FT
Morecambe
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 60%
#7 League Two Β· England
Crawley Town
3 : 2 FT
Tranmere
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 58%
#8 Serie A Β· Brazil
Palmeiras
1 : 0 FT
Goias
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#9 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Sligo Rovers
2 : 0 FT
UCD
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
#10 Ligue 2 Β· France
Rodez
4 : 1 FT
Angers
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#11 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Lamia
2 : 2 FT
OFI
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%
#12 League Two Β· England
Bradford
1 : 1 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%
#13 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 : 0 FT
Obolon'-Brovar
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#14 Ligue 2 Β· France
Dunkerque
0 : 0 FT
Grenoble
Win 28%
Draw 33%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#15 League One Β· England
Port Vale
1 : 0 FT
Northampton
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#16 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
RWDM
2 : 1 FT
Cercle Brugge
Win 20%
Draw 26%
Win 54%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%
#17 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Pardubice
0 : 1 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 26%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#18 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Galatasaray
4 : 2 FT
Samsunspor
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 28%
Win 13%
#19 Superettan Β· Sweden
AFC Eskilstuna
1 : 3 FT
Orgryte IS
Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#20 Championship Β· England
QPR
1 : 3 FT
Sunderland
Win 25%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 16 September 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Raków Częstochowa vs ŁKS Łódź at 61% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.