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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 15 September 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 15 September 2023. Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Jonoon sits top on 65% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 65% down to 33%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
4 : 2 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 18%
Win 6%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 68% Shandong Luneng Clean Sheet 65%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Coritiba
2 : 4 FT
Bahia
Win 51%
Draw 33%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 64% Coritiba Clean Sheet 53%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
RB Bragantino
2 : 0 FT
Gremio
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 27%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#4 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Buriram United
4 : 0 FT
Trat FC
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Gornik Zabrze
1 : 0 FT
Ruch Chorzów
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
1 : 1 FT
FC OSS
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#7 Premier League Β· Russia
Dynamo
1 : 1 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
#8 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
1 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#9 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
6 : 1 FT
Al Riyadh
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#10 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Estrela
0 : 1 FT
FC Porto
Win 22%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#11 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Liège
3 : 1 FT
Club Brugge II
Win 25%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 57%
#12 Premier League Β· Ukraine
FC Kharkiv
2 : 1 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#13 Serie B Β· Italy
Venezia
1 : 0 FT
Spezia
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
0 : 1 FT
Al Shabab
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#15 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
3 : 0 FT
Telstar
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Bangkok United
3 : 0 FT
Sukhothai FC
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 56%
#17 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
1 : 1 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
KRC Genk II
2 : 4 FT
Zulte Waregem
Win 20%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
3 : 3 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#20 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Puszcza Niepołomice
1 : 3 FT
Slask Wroclaw
Win 33%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 35%
Under 2.5 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 15 September 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Jonoon at 65% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.