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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 22 July 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 22 July 2023. HJK Helsinki vs Ilves led the list at 52% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 34%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Veikkausliiga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
HJK Helsinki
1 : 0 FT
Ilves
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 36%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#2 Super League Β· China
Chengdu Better City
4 : 1 FT
Dalian Aerbin
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Palmeiras
3 : 1 FT
Fortaleza EC
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
Flamengo
1 : 1 FT
America Mineiro
Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 62%
#5 Superettan Β· Sweden
Landskrona BoIS
1 : 2 FT
AFC Eskilstuna
Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#6 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
AC Oulu
3 : 1 FT
Kooteepee
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#7 Super League Β· China
Beijing Guoan
2 : 0 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Inter Turku
1 : 2 FT
SJK
Win 28%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
#9 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Stal Mielec
2 : 2 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#10 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cuiaba
2 : 1 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 34%
Draw 34%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
#11 Superettan Β· Sweden
Skövde AIK
2 : 0 FT
Orgryte IS
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#12 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
3 : 0 FT
Jagiellonia
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#13 Primera División Β· Chile
Huachipato
2 : 0 FT
O'Higgins
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#14 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Varnamo
1 : 0 FT
BK Hacken
Win 20%
Draw 27%
Win 53%
#15 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
2 : 0 FT
Hradec Králové
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Piast Gliwice
1 : 2 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 33%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#17 Serie A Β· Brazil
Bahia
0 : 0 FT
Corinthians
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#18 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Djurgardens IF
0 : 4 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 55%
#19 Primera División Β· Chile
Deportes Copiapo
0 : 3 FT
Cobresal
Win 28%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 45%
Under 2.5 55%
#20 Premier League Β· Russia
Lokomotiv
2 : 2 FT
Rubin
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 22 July 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by HJK Helsinki vs Ilves at 52% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.