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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 21 July 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Ten matches cleared our threshold on Friday 21 July 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Henan Jianye vs Nantong Zhiyun at 49% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 20%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
1 : 1 FT
Nantong Zhiyun
Win 42%
Draw 36%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 64%
#2 Super League Β· China
Tianjin Teda
3 : 3 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 68%
#3 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Legia Warszawa
3 : 0 FT
ŁKS Łódź
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#4 Primera División Β· Chile
Union La Calera
2 : 1 FT
Magallanes
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#5 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Warta Poznań
0 : 1 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#6 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
2 : 1 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 55%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Brommapojkarna
1 : 0 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 27%
Draw 33%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#8 Super League Β· China
SHANGHAI SIPG
3 : 0 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 67%
#9 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
2 : 1 FT
Jeju United FC
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#10 Premier League Β· Russia
Dynamo
1 : 3 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 31%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%

Showing top 10 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 21 July 2023?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Henan Jianye vs Nantong Zhiyun at 49% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.