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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 28 May 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 28 May 2023. Barcelona vs Mallorca led the list at 57% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 41%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

La Liga supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
3 : 0 FT
Mallorca
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Barcelona Clean Sheet 57%
#2 Superettan Β· Sweden
Orebro SK
1 : 1 FT
Helsingborg
Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 67% Orebro SK Clean Sheet 53%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
3 : 2 FT
Excelsior
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 22%
Win 9%
BTTS No 58%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Djurgardens IF
1 : 0 FT
AIK Stockholm
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
✓ BTTS No 58%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Manchester United
2 : 1 FT
Fulham
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 62%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain
Athletic Club
0 : 1 FT
Elche
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
2 : 1 FT
Osasuna
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 68%
#8 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
FC Seoul
1 : 0 FT
Gangwon FC
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sao Paulo
2 : 1 FT
Goias
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 24%
Win 11%
BTTS No 54%
#10 Super League Β· China
Shanghai Shenhua
1 : 1 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 45%
Draw 35%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
2 : 2 FT
Napoli
Win 27%
Draw 34%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
#12 Serie A Β· Brazil
Internacional
2 : 0 FT
Bahia
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#13 Premier League Β· England
Southampton
4 : 4 FT
Liverpool
Win 14%
Draw 20%
Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#14 Serie A Β· Brazil
Botafogo
2 : 0 FT
America Mineiro
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 55%
#15 Premier League Β· England
Crystal Palace
1 : 1 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
#16 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht
3 : 2 FT
Emmen
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
#17 La Liga Β· Spain
Atletico Madrid
2 : 1 FT
Real Sociedad
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 54%
#18 La Liga Β· Spain
Almeria
0 : 0 FT
Valladolid
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 56%
#19 Serie A Β· Italy
Lazio
3 : 2 FT
Cremonese
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#20 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Feyenoord
0 : 1 FT
Vitesse
Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 28 May 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Barcelona vs Mallorca at 57% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.