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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 27 May 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 27 May 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Lens vs Ajaccio at 57% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 41%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Ekstraklasa supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the clean sheet market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lens
3 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
βœ“ Win 86%
Draw 10%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Lens Clean Sheet 57%
#2 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Piast Gliwice
0 : 1 FT
Lechia Gdansk
Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 67% Piast Gliwice Clean Sheet 57%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
GIL Vicente
1 : 0 FT
Casa Pia
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#4 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Atlético Ottawa
0 : 1 FT
Forge
Win 13%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
3 : 0 FT
Santa Clara
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
1 : 1 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 17%
Draw 25%
Win 58%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 59%
#7 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Cracovia Krakow
3 : 0 FT
Wisla Plock
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#8 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Stal Mielec
1 : 0 FT
Warta Poznań
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 35%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy
Salernitana
3 : 2 FT
Udinese
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 57%
#10 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Sligo Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Derry City
Win 17%
Draw 24%
Win 59%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#11 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
0 : 2 FT
Halmstad
Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
#12 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
4 : 0 FT
Slovácko
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#13 Serie A Β· Italy
Spezia
0 : 4 FT
Torino
Win 21%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#14 Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
4 : 2 FT
FC Schalke 04
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille
2 : 1 FT
Nantes
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
#16 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Legia Warszawa
3 : 1 FT
Slask Wroclaw
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#17 Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
2 : 1 FT
AS Roma
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#18 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
SC Braga
3 : 0 FT
Pacos Ferreira
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
#19 Superettan Β· Sweden
Orgryte IS
3 : 1 FT
Gefle IF
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#20 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Miedz Legnica
0 : 0 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 22%
Draw 28%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 27 May 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lens vs Ajaccio at 57% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.