Sign in Register
🧀

Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 19 May 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 19 May 2023. Derry City vs UCD sits top on 56% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 37%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie B supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the clean sheet market — 25%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
4 : 1 FT
UCD
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 64% Derry City Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Serie B Β· Italy
Modena
2 : 1 FT
Sudtirol
Win 27%
Draw 43%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 84% BTTS No 74%
#3 Superettan Β· Sweden
IK brage
1 : 1 FT
Gefle IF
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 63%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy
Genoa
4 : 3 FT
Bari
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 35%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#5 Super League Β· China
Shanghai Shenhua
1 : 1 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 40%
Draw 38%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 58%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy
Ternana
2 : 3 FT
Frosinone
Win 19%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 51%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#7 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dnipro-1
2 : 1 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
BTTS No 53%
#8 Serie B Β· Italy
Parma
2 : 1 FT
Venezia
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 33%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
3 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
#10 Super League Β· China
Wuhan Three Towns
3 : 3 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 27%
βœ“ Draw 40%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 58%
#11 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
2 : 1 FT
Veres Rivne
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 54%
#12 Serie B Β· Italy
Cosenza
0 : 1 FT
Cagliari
Win 29%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Cadiz
2 : 0 FT
Valladolid
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#14 Super League Β· China
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
2 : 4 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 24%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 39%
Under 2.5 62%
#15 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
2 : 2 FT
Willem II
Win 27%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#16 Serie B Β· Italy
Pisa
1 : 2 FT
Spal
Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 60%
#17 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 0 FT
Kryvbas KR
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#18 Ligue 2 Β· France
Grenoble
1 : 1 FT
Rodez
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#19 Serie B Β· Italy
Palermo
2 : 2 FT
Brescia
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 54%
#20 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Korona Kielce
0 : 3 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 30%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 39%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 19 May 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Derry City vs UCD at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.