Sign in Register
🧀

Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 22 April 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 22 April 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest at 61% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 61% down to 48%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Championship supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England
Liverpool
3 : 2 FT
Nottingham Forest
βœ“ Win 86%
Draw 10%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS No 63% Liverpool Clean Sheet 61%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Vitesse
0 : 0 FT
Excelsior
Win 72%
Draw 20%
Win 7%
✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Vitesse Clean Sheet 56%
#3 Championship Β· England
Bristol City
2 : 1 FT
Rotherham
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 32%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 68% Bristol City Clean Sheet 56%
#4 League One Β· England
Portsmouth
1 : 0 FT
Accrington ST
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 26%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Portsmouth Clean Sheet 56%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Famalicao
3 : 2 FT
Maritimo
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 66% Famalicao Clean Sheet 55%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France
Le Havre
0 : 0 FT
Quevilly
Win 46%
Draw 33%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 70% ✓ Le Havre Clean Sheet 55%
#7 League One Β· England
Cheltenham
3 : 1 FT
Forest Green
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 31%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 66% Cheltenham Clean Sheet 54%
#8 Championship Β· England
Wigan
2 : 1 FT
Millwall
Win 20%
Draw 34%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 67% Millwall Clean Sheet 53%
#9 League Two Β· England
Stockport County
1 : 0 FT
Rochdale
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 31%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#10 Championship Β· England
Burnley
1 : 2 FT
QPR
Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#11 League Two Β· England
Leyton Orient
2 : 0 FT
Crewe
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 28%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#12 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 2 FT
FC Porto
Win 13%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 66%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#13 League One Β· England
Charlton
2 : 3 FT
Morecambe
Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#14 Serie B Β· Italy
Frosinone
0 : 0 FT
Sudtirol
Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#15 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Sociedad
2 : 1 FT
Rayo Vallecano
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 63%
#16 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Incheon United
2 : 2 FT
Suwon City FC
Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%
#17 League One Β· England
Bolton
1 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#18 League One Β· England
Barnsley
2 : 0 FT
Oxford United
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#19 League One Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
2 : 1 FT
Exeter City
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#20 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Kooteepee
2 : 1 FT
Mariehamn
Win 20%
Draw 38%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 22 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest at 61% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.