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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 21 April 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 21 April 2023. Shelbourne vs Dundalk led the list at 53% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 30%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier Division supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
1 : 1 FT
Dundalk
Win 43%
Draw 34%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 70%
#2 Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
0 : 2 FT
Bohemians
Win 22%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#3 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Plock
2 : 4 FT
Jagiellonia
Win 45%
Draw 34%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#4 Premier League · England
Arsenal
3 : 3 FT
Southampton
Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#5 Ligue 1 · France
Angers
1 : 2 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 15%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#6 Super League · China
Shandong Luneng
1 : 1 FT
Nantong Zhiyun
Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
0 : 1 FT
Den Bosch
Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Super League · China
Henan Jianye
0 : 0 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
#9 Premier Division · Ireland
Cork City
1 : 3 FT
Derry City
Win 23%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 52%
#10 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Willem II
4 : 0 FT
FC OSS
✓ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
0 : 2 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 33%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#12 2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
2 : 1 FT
Karlsruher SC
✓ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#13 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
0 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#14 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
1 : 0 FT
Jong AZ
✓ Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#15 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Warta Poznań
1 : 0 FT
Legia Warszawa
✓ Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#16 Premier League · Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 1 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#17 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 0 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 27%
Draw 24%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Super League · China
Meizhou Kejia
0 : 1 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
#19 Eredivisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
2 : 0 FT
Cambuur
✓ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
#20 Serie B · Italy
Reggina
1 : 2 FT
Brescia
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 21 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Shelbourne vs Dundalk at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.