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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Tuesday 4 April 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Twelve matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 4 April 2023. Muangthong United vs Lamphun Warrior led the list at 50% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 26%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Thai League 1 supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 58%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Muangthong United
3 : 1 FT
Lamphun Warrior
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 58%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Adalah
0 : 5 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 11%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
3 : 0 FT
Damac
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#4 Premier League Β· England
Leeds
2 : 1 FT
Nottingham Forest
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
BTTS No 54%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Chelsea
0 : 0 FT
Liverpool
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#6 Premier League Β· England
Leicester
1 : 2 FT
Aston Villa
Win 31%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 53%
#7 Superettan Β· Sweden
Helsingborg
0 : 1 FT
Osters IF
Win 32%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
0 : 2 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 27%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 47%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chiangrai United
2 : 3 FT
Port FC
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Bangkok United
4 : 3 FT
Buriram United
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Sukhothai FC
1 : 0 FT
Chonburi FC
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Premier League Β· England
Bournemouth
0 : 2 FT
Brighton
Win 29%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 48%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 12 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 4 April 2023?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Muangthong United vs Lamphun Warrior at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.