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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Monday 6 March 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Monday 6 March 2023. Genoa vs Cosenza sits top on 59% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 59% down to 29%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier Division supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B Β· Italy
Genoa
4 : 0 FT
Cosenza
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 21%
Win 9%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Genoa Clean Sheet 59%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
2 : 1 FT
Shelbourne
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
BTTS No 54%
#3 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
4 : 4 FT
Cork City
Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
2 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
3 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
#6 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Sligo Rovers
2 : 1 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#7 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panathinaikos
2 : 0 FT
Panetolikos
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 16%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
1 : 3 FT
Roda
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#9 Premier League Β· England
Brentford
3 : 2 FT
Fulham
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#10 Ligue 2 Β· France
Caen
0 : 0 FT
Sochaux
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#11 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Casa Pia
2 : 1 FT
Pacos Ferreira
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy
Sassuolo
3 : 2 FT
Cremonese
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
#13 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Radomiak Radom
0 : 1 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
Win 32%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#14 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Lviv
1 : 0 FT
Minai
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#15 La Liga Β· Spain
Osasuna
0 : 0 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#16 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
1 : 2 FT
FC OSS
Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kasımpaşa
3 : 1 FT
Antalyaspor
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#18 Premier Division Β· Ireland
UCD
0 : 4 FT
Derry City
Win 30%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 41%
BTTS Yes 55%
#19 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
0 : 3 FT
Heracles
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 54%
#20 Serie A Β· Italy
Torino
1 : 0 FT
Bologna
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 6 March 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Genoa vs Cosenza at 59% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.