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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 3 March 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 3 March 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Nice vs Auxerre at 52% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 35%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Pro League supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the clean sheet market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nice
1 : 1 FT
Auxerre
Win 62%
Draw 26%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 59%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
3 : 1 FT
Al Baten
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
#3 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Nasr
0 : 1 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 20%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Sociedad
0 : 0 FT
Cadiz
Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#5 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Stal Mielec
0 : 2 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 32%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#6 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 2 FT
Derry City
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#7 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
2 : 0 FT
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed
1 : 2 FT
Al-Ettifaq
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
#9 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
0 : 3 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 26%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
0 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#11 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Oostende
3 : 0 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 20%
Draw 28%
Win 52%
#12 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Boavista
0 : 0 FT
Arouca
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#13 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lech Poznan
5 : 0 FT
Lechia Gdansk
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#14 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
0 : 1 FT
Almere City FC
Win 29%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#15 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht
1 : 2 FT
Fortuna Sittard
Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 54%
#16 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
13 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 14%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 62%
#17 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
1 : 0 FT
Bohemians
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 36%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#18 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
2 : 0 FT
Famalicao
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 60%
#19 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Dhafra
0 : 2 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 22%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 55%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
#20 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
2 : 3 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 3 March 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Nice vs Auxerre at 52% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.