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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 29 January 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 29 January 2023. The strongest reading belongs to AEK Athens FC vs Aris Thessalonikis at 54% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 37%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Primeira Liga supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece
AEK Athens FC
3 : 0 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 31%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ AEK Athens FC Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Vizela
3 : 1 FT
Rio Ave
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 66%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Casa Pia
2 : 1 FT
Santa Clara
Win 30%
Draw 38%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 82% BTTS No 73%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Famalicao
1 : 0 FT
Estoril
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy
Frosinone
1 : 0 FT
Benevento
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#6 Super League Β· Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
5 : 1 FT
FC Winterthur
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#7 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Khon Kaen United
2 : 1 FT
Sukhothai FC
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#8 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
2 : 1 FT
OFI
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 35%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy
Juventus
0 : 2 FT
Monza
Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 63%
#10 Ligue 1 Β· France
Paris Saint Germain
1 : 1 FT
Reims
Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 53%
#11 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 1 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 18%
Draw 25%
Win 57%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy
Lazio
1 : 1 FT
Fiorentina
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#13 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Boavista
4 : 2 FT
Portimonense
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
#14 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
5 : 1 FT
FK Jablonec
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
2 : 5 FT
Sassuolo
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Legia Warszawa
3 : 2 FT
Korona Kielce
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
#17 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Twente
1 : 1 FT
Feyenoord
Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#18 La Liga Β· Spain
Valladolid
1 : 0 FT
Valencia
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#19 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Standard Liège II
2 : 2 FT
SK Beveren
Win 11%
Draw 15%
Win 73%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#20 Ligue 1 Β· France
Ajaccio
0 : 2 FT
Lyon
Win 22%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 50%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 29 January 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by AEK Athens FC vs Aris Thessalonikis at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.