Sign in Register
🧤

Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Wednesday 14 September 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Wednesday 14 September 2022. Beijing Guoan vs Hebei Zhongji led the list at 49% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 24%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Championship supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League · China
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1 FT
Hebei Zhongji
✓ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
BTTS No 56%
#2 Primera División · Chile
Everton de Vina
1 : 1 FT
Nublense
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 63%
#3 Championship · England
West Brom
2 : 3 FT
Birmingham
Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
#4 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Adalah
0 : 1 FT
Al Shabab
Win 14%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 66%
Over 2.5 54%
#5 K League 1 · South-Korea
Incheon United
0 : 0 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#6 Primera División · Chile
O'Higgins
2 : 2 FT
Union La Calera
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
#7 Championship · England
Millwall
0 : 2 FT
QPR
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#8 K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
1 : 0 FT
Seongnam FC
✓ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#9 Championship · England
Reading
0 : 3 FT
Sunderland
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 55%
#10 Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United
4 : 2 FT
Port FC
✓ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
#11 Championship · England
Rotherham
3 : 0 FT
Blackpool
✓ Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 54%
#12 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
1 : 0 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#13 Super League · China
Shandong Luneng
1 : 1 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#14 Super League · China
Henan Jianye
0 : 1 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%
#15 Primera División · Chile
Union Espanola
0 : 1 FT
D. La Serena
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%
#16 Primera División · Chile
Cobresal
0 : 2 FT
Colo Colo
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
#17 Championship · England
Luton
2 : 2 FT
Coventry
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Championship · England
Norwich
3 : 2 FT
Bristol City
✓ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#19 K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon Bluewings
0 : 2 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#20 Super League · China
Meizhou Kejia
0 : 0 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 68%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 14 September 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Beijing Guoan vs Hebei Zhongji at 49% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.