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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 11 September 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 11 September 2022. Sukhothai FC vs Bangkok United led the list at 55% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 43%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Sukhothai FC
0 : 0 FT
Bangkok United
Win 11%
Draw 21%
Win 67%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Bangkok United Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Palmeiras
2 : 1 FT
Juventude
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 57%
#3 Premier League Β· Russia
Zenit
8 : 0 FT
FC Orenburg
βœ“ Win 87%
Draw 9%
Win 3%
✓ Over 2.5 79%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
5 : 1 FT
Finn Harps
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil
Botafogo
0 : 0 FT
America Mineiro
Win 31%
βœ“ Draw 37%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS No 73%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
jerv
2 : 4 FT
Molde
Win 11%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 70%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#7 Ligue 1 Β· France
Ajaccio
0 : 1 FT
Nice
Win 20%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#8 Serie A Β· Italy
Juventus
2 : 2 FT
Salernitana
Win 47%
Draw 36%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#9 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chiangrai United
5 : 1 FT
Lampang FC
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
#10 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Sivasspor
1 : 1 FT
İstanbulspor
Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 67%
#11 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Pacos Ferreira
2 : 3 FT
Casa Pia
Win 24%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 47%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
#12 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
HIFK Helsinki
1 : 6 FT
AC Oulu
Win 12%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
2 : 1 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 29%
Draw 33%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 65%
#14 Serie A Β· Italy
Lecce
1 : 1 FT
Monza
Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#15 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Feyenoord
3 : 0 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#16 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Ratchaburi
1 : 1 FT
Police Tero
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
#17 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Malmo FF
2 : 1 FT
IFK Norrkoping
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
#18 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dnipro-1
3 : 0 FT
FC Kharkiv
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 34%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#19 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
1 : 2 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
BTTS No 53%
#20 Super League Β· Switzerland
Servette FC
3 : 2 FT
FC Zurich
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 33%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 11 September 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sukhothai FC vs Bangkok United at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.