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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Thursday 1 September 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 14 fixtures on Thursday 1 September 2022. Hangzhou Greentown vs Guangzhou Evergrande FC sits top on 55% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 20%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 64%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League · China
Hangzhou Greentown
3 : 0 FT
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
✓ Win 62%
Draw 26%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Hangzhou Greentown Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Super League · China
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
0 : 0 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 25%
Draw 33%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#3 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Valour
1 : 0 FT
Forge
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#4 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed
1 : 0 FT
Al Wehda Club
✓ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#5 Serie A · Italy
Bologna
1 : 1 FT
Salernitana
Win 37%
✓ Draw 38%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 55%
#6 Super League · China
Changchun Yatai
0 : 1 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 Premier League · England
Leicester
0 : 1 FT
Manchester United
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Super League · China
Dalian Aerbin
5 : 1 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
✓ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#9 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Abha
0 : 4 FT
Al Shabab
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 54%
#10 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Haka
2 : 1 FT
Honka
Win 27%
Draw 23%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#11 Serie A · Italy
Atalanta
3 : 1 FT
Torino
Win 32%
Draw 33%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#12 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Anderlecht
0 : 1 FT
Gent
Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
0 : 1 FT
De Graafschap
Win 35%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 42%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
#14 Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 1 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 14 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 1 September 2022?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Hangzhou Greentown vs Guangzhou Evergrande FC at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.