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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Tuesday 16 August 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 16 August 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon at 54% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 36%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League Two supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England
Mansfield Town
5 : 2 FT
AFC Wimbledon
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 65% Mansfield Town Clean Sheet 54%
#2 League One Β· England
Milton Keynes Dons
2 : 1 FT
Port Vale
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
BTTS No 57%
#3 League One Β· England
Bolton
1 : 0 FT
Morecambe
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 62%
#4 League One Β· England
Shrewsbury
0 : 0 FT
Derby
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#5 Championship Β· England
Preston
0 : 0 FT
Rotherham
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#6 League Two Β· England
Hartlepool
0 : 0 FT
Tranmere
Win 35%
Draw 34%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#7 League One Β· England
Portsmouth
4 : 1 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%
#8 League Two Β· England
Stevenage
1 : 0 FT
Rochdale
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#9 League Two Β· England
Swindon Town
1 : 1 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#10 League Two Β· England
Doncaster
2 : 1 FT
Stockport County
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 53%
#11 League One Β· England
Oxford United
1 : 2 FT
Lincoln
Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#12 League Two Β· England
Gillingham
0 : 2 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#13 Championship Β· England
Burnley
1 : 1 FT
Hull City
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
#14 League Two Β· England
Newport County
2 : 3 FT
Salford City
Win 33%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#15 Championship Β· England
Birmingham
1 : 1 FT
Watford
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#16 League Two Β· England
Crewe
1 : 0 FT
Sutton Utd
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#17 League One Β· England
Charlton
5 : 1 FT
Plymouth
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
#18 League Two Β· England
Barrow
2 : 1 FT
Walsall
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 58%
#19 Championship Β· England
QPR
0 : 1 FT
Blackpool
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
#20 League Two Β· England
Crawley Town
2 : 3 FT
Northampton
Win 34%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 16 August 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.