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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 13 August 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 13 August 2022. Cracovia Krakow vs Piast Gliwice sits top on 49% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 43%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Cracovia Krakow
0 : 1 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#2 Championship · England
Luton
0 : 1 FT
Preston
Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#3 League Two · England
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 2 FT
Doncaster
Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
#4 Ligue 2 · France
Sochaux
0 : 1 FT
Amiens
Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#5 Serie A · Brazil
Goias
1 : 1 FT
Avai
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 57%
#6 Championship · England
Hull City
2 : 1 FT
Norwich
✓ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 60%
#7 League Two · England
Tranmere
3 : 0 FT
Gillingham
✓ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 League One · England
Wycombe
1 : 2 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%
#9 League One · England
Derby
2 : 1 FT
Barnsley
✓ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 62%
#10 Super League · China
Henan Jianye
0 : 1 FT
Meizhou Kejia
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#11 Serie A · Brazil
Corinthians
0 : 1 FT
Palmeiras
Win 35%
Draw 35%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
3 : 0 FT
Grenoble
Win 29%
Draw 36%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#13 League Two · England
Rochdale
0 : 1 FT
Grimsby
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#14 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP
3 : 0 FT
Rio Ave
✓ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#15 K League 1 · South-Korea
Incheon United
3 : 1 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 25%
Draw 31%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#16 Ligue 2 · France
Bordeaux
1 : 0 FT
Niort
Win 27%
Draw 34%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#17 Championship · England
Cardiff
1 : 0 FT
Birmingham
✓ Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#18 Championship · England
Millwall
3 : 2 FT
Coventry
✓ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
#19 Ligue 2 · France
Metz
2 : 0 FT
Valenciennes
✓ Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#20 League One · England
Cambridge United
2 : 1 FT
Exeter City
✓ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 13 August 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Cracovia Krakow vs Piast Gliwice at 49% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.