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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 12 August 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 12 August 2022. U. Catolica vs O'Higgins sits top on 55% in the Primera División. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 29%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier Division supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primera División · Chile
U. Catolica
2 : 2 FT
O'Higgins
Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 68% U. Catolica Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Super League · China
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
1 : 2 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 33%
Draw 36%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 70%
#3 Championship · England
Watford
1 : 0 FT
Burnley
✓ Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#4 Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
3 : 1 FT
Shelbourne
✓ Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#5 Serie B · Italy
Parma
2 : 2 FT
Bari
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
#6 Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
0 : 1 FT
Dundalk
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#7 Super League · China
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
0 : 2 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 32%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
2 : 1 FT
Willem II
✓ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#9 2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
0 : 3 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 58%
#10 Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
0 : 0 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#11 La Liga · Spain
Osasuna
2 : 1 FT
Sevilla
Win 33%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 53%
#12 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Miedz Legnica
0 : 1 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
Win 29%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#13 Super League · China
Wuhan Three Towns
5 : 1 FT
Beijing Guoan
✓ Win 74%
Draw 14%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#14 Premier Division · Ireland
UCD
2 : 1 FT
Finn Harps
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 54%
#15 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Famalicao
0 : 3 FT
SC Braga
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 53%
#16 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United
2 : 0 FT
Khon Kaen United
✓ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
#17 Süper Lig · Turkey
Trabzonspor
1 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
✓ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 61%
#18 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
3 : 1 FT
Vitesse
Win 30%
Draw 25%
Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#19 Ligue 1 · France
Nantes
1 : 1 FT
Lille
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#20 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
0 : 5 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 12 August 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by U. Catolica vs O'Higgins at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.